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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction

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Navigating prediction's maze with statistical insight.

If you've ever felt inundated by data or paralyzed by prediction paralysis, Nate Silver's "The Signal and the Noise" could be your guiding light. It's like having a top-notch navigator in the ever-expanding sea of information. Silver doesn't just offer anecdotes but also equips you with the mental tools to distinguish meaningful patterns from misleading noise. Understanding how to think probabilistically is a timeless skill, and Silver's knack for making complex concepts accessible will serve you well, whether you're tuning your own forecasts or just skeptical about the daily slew of "statistical findings" in your newsfeed.

  • Goodreads Choice Award Nominee for Nonfiction (2012)
  • Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science (2013)
Note: While we do our best to ensure the accuracy of cover images, ISBNs may at times be reused for different editions of the same title which may hence appear as a different cover.
New

The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction

Regular price RM22.00 MYR
Unit price
per
Compare to estimated retail price: RM81.00 MYR  
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ISBN: 9780141975658
Authors: Nate Silver
Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
Date of Publication: 2013-04-24
Format: Paperback
Related Collections: Science, Economics, Business, Politics
Goodreads rating: 3.97
(rated by 52272 readers)

Description

Nate Silver explains how to distinguish signal from noise in data, using examples from weather, earthquakes, baseball, politics, poker, and finance. The book examines why most predictions fail, how to reason with probability and uncertainty, and why humility often leads to more accurate forecasts. It highlights the thinking patterns of successful forecasters and what makes some predictions more reliable than others.
 

Navigating prediction's maze with statistical insight.

If you've ever felt inundated by data or paralyzed by prediction paralysis, Nate Silver's "The Signal and the Noise" could be your guiding light. It's like having a top-notch navigator in the ever-expanding sea of information. Silver doesn't just offer anecdotes but also equips you with the mental tools to distinguish meaningful patterns from misleading noise. Understanding how to think probabilistically is a timeless skill, and Silver's knack for making complex concepts accessible will serve you well, whether you're tuning your own forecasts or just skeptical about the daily slew of "statistical findings" in your newsfeed.

  • Goodreads Choice Award Nominee for Nonfiction (2012)
  • Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science (2013)
Note: While we do our best to ensure the accuracy of cover images, ISBNs may at times be reused for different editions of the same title which may hence appear as a different cover.